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Welcome to The Oscar Experiment!
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What? |
From data to the Dolby Theatre. This Experiment is a rule-based model that tracks awards
season in real time - revealing which films, directors, and
performances are on track for Oscar nominations.
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| How? |
The Oscar Experiment is built on a mathematical model that analyzes the relationship
between pre-Oscar awards and past Oscar nominees over the last 13 years.
Each award and nomination is assigned a weighted score — for example:
- 3 points for major critics’ awards
- 1.5 points for smaller awards
- 4 points for Guild nominations
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| When? |
Running from early December to nomination morning, the model updates continuously as new results come in — ultimately delivering a full set of predictions that have proven quite accurate in the last 26 years.
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