The Most Important Rule

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Important Note:

This rule only works, if there are five nominations. So since 2009 this rule is no longer applied in the Best Picture Category.



The Formula's Most Impoprtant Rule

The Scores in the Picture and Director Categories
GET DIVIDED BY 2.5

UNLESS:


DGA:

The movie has a nomination from the Directors Guild.

OR


SAG:

The movie is nominated for Best Ensemble at the Screen Actors Guild Award and Best Picture at the Golden Globes (Drama or Comedy). Unless the film wins a Golden Globe, it also needs to be nominated for a Writers Guild Award.

OR


PGA:

Since there are ten Best Picture nominations at the Producers Guild Awards, it's become a bit harder for the nominees to profit from the Most Important Rule. Films who are nominated for the PGA also need to be nominated for Best Screenplay at the Golden Globes, and must win at least one important award from at least one of the associations on the Calendar. (Important awards are: picture, director, actor, actress and screenplay). Awards given to former Oscar winners are not taken in consideration.

--------------------


However: They won't get the extra points, and their scores will stay divided by 2.5 if:

The director won his first Best Directing Oscar within the last 10 years

OR They are directors and producers of a Too Early Front Runner!

OR They are directors and producers of an 'Over-Estimated Comedy'!



Here's a list of the films who profit by this rule.
(The producers and directors of those films received the three points extra!)

2010
     Black Swan (DGA, SAG+Globe, PGA+WriteGlobe)
     The Fighter (DGA, SAG+Globe, PGA+WriteGlobe)
     Inception (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe)
     The King's Speech (DGA, SAG+Globe, PGA+WriteGlobe)
     The Social Network (DGA, SAG+Globe, PGA+WriteGlobe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: 127 Hours (PGA+WriteGlobe)
Too Early Front Runner: None.
Over-Estimated Comedy: The Kids Are All Right (SAG+Globe, PGA+WriteGlobe)

2009
     Avatar (DGA)
     Up in the Air (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe)
     Precious (DGA, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: The Hurt Locker (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe), Inglourious Basterds (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe).
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

2008
     The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     The Dark Knight (DGA)
     Milk (DGA)
     Slumdog Millionaire (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: Frost/Nixon (Howard) (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe).
Too Early Front Runner: None.
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

2007
     The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe)
     Into the Wild (DGA)
     Juno (PGA+WriteGlobe)
     Michael Clayton (DGA)
     No Country for Old Men (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     There Will Be Blood (DGA)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: None.
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

2006
     Babel (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     The Departed (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     Little Miss Sunshine (DGA, SAG+Globe)
     The Queen (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: None.
Over-Estimated Comedy: Dreamgirls (DGA, SAG+Globe)

2005
     Brokeback Mountain (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     Capote (DGA)
     Munich (DGA)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: Crash (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe), Good Night and Good Luck (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

2004
     The Aviator (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     Hotel Rwanda (SAG+Globe)
     Million Dollar Baby (DGA, SAG+Globe)
     Ray (DGA, SAG+Globe)
     Sideways (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: Finding Neverland (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

2003
     The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (DGA, SAG+Globe)
     Lost in Translation (DGA)
     Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World (DGA)
     Mystic River (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     Seabiscuit (DGA, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: Cold Mountain (Minghella) (PGA+WriteGlobe)
Too Early Front Runner: None.
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

2002
     The Hours (DGA, SAG+Globe)
     Gangs Of New York (DGA)
     The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (DGA, SAG+Globe)
     My Big Fat Greek Wedding (SAG+Globe)
     The Pianist (DGA)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: Adaptation (PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
Over-Estimated Comedy: Chicago (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)

2001
     A Beautiful Mind (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     Black Hawk Down (DGA)
     Gosford Park (SAG+Globe)
     In the Bedroom (SAG+Globe)
     The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (DGA, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: Memento (DGA)
Over-Estimated Comedy: Moulin Rouge (DGA, SAG+Globe)

2000
     Billy Elliot (SAG+Globe)
     Chocolat (SAG+Globe)
     Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon (DGA)
     Erin Brockovich (DGA)
     Gladiator (DGA, SAG+Globe)
     Traffic (DGA, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: None.
Over-Estimated Comedy: Almost Famous (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)

1999
     American Beauty (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     The Cider House Rules (PGA+WriteGlobe)
     The Green Mile (DGA)
     The Sixth Sense (DGA)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: Being John Malkovich (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe), The Insider (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe)
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

1998
     Life is Beautiful (DGA)
     Shakespeare in Love (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     The Thin Red Line (DGA)
     The Truman Show (DGA)

Films by Oscar winning directors: Saving Private Ryan (Spielberg) (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
Too Early Front Runner: None.
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

1997
     The Full Monty (SAG+Globe)
     Good Will Hunting (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     Titanic (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: Amistad (Spielberg) (PGA, DGA)
Too Early Front Runner: L.A. Confidential (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
Over-Estimated Comedy: As Good As It Gets (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe)

1996
     The Birdcage (SAG+Globe)
     The English Patient (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)
     Jerry Maguire (DGA)
     The People vs Larry Flint (PGA+WriteGlobe)
     Secrets and Lies (DGA)
     Shine (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe, SAG+Globe)

Films by Oscar winning directors: None.
Too Early Front Runner: Fargo (DGA, PGA+WriteGlobe)
Over-Estimated Comedy: None.

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