How The Formula Predicted
The 2002 Oscar Nominees


The Formula's Most Important Rule The Too Early Front Runner The Over-Estimated Comedy The Meryl Streep Rule

Prediction Rate 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96

FIRST PLACE PER CATEGORY


Picture
The Hours
34.64 pts


Director
Martin Scorsese
25.06 pts


Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis
28.32 pts


Actress
Julianne Moore
25.21 pts


Supp. Actor
Chris Cooper
31.02 pts


Supp. Actress
Kathy Bates
18.38 pts


Orig. Screenplay
Far From Heaven
18.27 pts


Adaptation
Adaptation
25.95 pts


Best Picture
Chicago
Gangs of New York
The Hours
The Lord of The Rings: The Two Towers
The Pianist

6th and 7th Place: Adaptation ; My Big Fat Greek Wedding

Places 8 to 10: Far From Heaven ; About Schmidt ; Road to Perdition


Best Director
Rob Marshall, Chicago
Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York
Stephen Daldry, The Hours
Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
Roman Polanski, The Pianist
6th and 7th Place: Todd Haynes, Far From Heaven ; Spike Jonze, Adaptation

Places 8 to 10: Joel Zwick, My Big Fat Greek Wedding ; Alexander Payne, About Schmidt ; Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her


Best Actor
Adrien Brody, The Pianist
Nicolas Cage, Adaptation
Michael Caine, The Quiet American
Daniel Day-Lewis, Gangs of New York
Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt
6th and 7th Place: Richard Gere, Chicago ; Robin Williams, One Hour Photo

Places 8 to 10: Hugh Grant, About a Boy ; Leonardo DiCaprio, Catch Me If You Can ; Kieran Culkin, Igby Goes Down


Best Actress
Salma Hayek, Frida
Nicole Kidman, The Hours
Diane Lane, Unfaithful
Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
Renee Zellweger, Chicago
6th and 7th Place: Meryl Streep, The Hours ; Maggie Gyllenhal, Secretary

Places 8 to 10: Nia Vardalos, My Big Fat Greek Wedding ; Sigourney Weaver, The Guys ; Goldie Hawn, The Banger Sisters


Best Supporting Actor
Chris Cooper, Adaptation
Ed Harris, The Hours
Alfred Molina, Frida
Dennis Quaid, Far From Heaven
Christopher Walken, Catch Me If You Can
6th and 7th Place: Paul Newman, Road to Perdition ; John C. Reilly, Chicago

Places 8 to 10: Andy Serkis, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers ; Michael Constantine, My Big Fat Greek Wedding ; Viggo Mortinson, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers


Best Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates, About Schmidt
Queen Latifah, Chicago
Julianne Moore, The Hours
Meryl Streep, Adaptation
Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
6th and 7th Place: Michelle Pfeiffer, White Orleander ; Susan Sarandon, Igby Goes Down

Places 8 to 10: Cameron Diaz, Gangs of New York ; Patricia Clarkson, Far From Heaven ; Edie Falco, Sunshine State


Best Original Screenplay
Far From Heaven
Gangs of New York
My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Talk to Her
Y Tu Mama Tambien
6th and 7th Place: Bowling For Columbine ; Antwone Fisher

Places 8 to 9: Punch-Drunk Love ; Thirteen Conversations About One Thing


Best Adapted Screenplay
About Schmidt
Adaptation
Chicago
The Hours
The Pianist
6th and 7th Place: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers ; About a Boy

Places 8 to 10: Road to Perdition ; Catch Me If You Can ; Minority Report


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