How The Formula Predicted
The 2000 Oscar Nominees


The Formula's Most Important Rule The Too Early Front Runner The Over-Estimated Comedy The Meryl Streep Rule

Prediction Rate 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96

FIRST PLACE PER CATEGORY


Picture
Traffic
39.28 pts


Director
Ang Lee
34.75 pts


Actor
Russell Crowe
17.88 pts


Actress
Julia Roberts
22.49 pts


Supp. Actor
Benicio Del Toro
27.04 pts


Supp. Actress
Frances McDormand
19.49 pts


Orig. Screenplay
You Can Count on Me
23.09 pts


Adaptation
Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
21.05 pts


Best Picture
Billy Elliot
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Erin Brockovich
Gladiator
Traffic

6th and 7th Place: Almost Famous ; Chocolat

Places 8 to 10: Wonder Boys ; You Can Count on Me ; Quills


Best Director
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot
Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
Steven Soderbergh, Erin Brockovich
Ridley Scott, Gladiator
Steven Soderbergh, Traffic
6th and 7th Place: Cameron Crowe, Almost Famous ; Lasse Hallstrõm, Chocolat

Places 8 to 10: Kenneth Lonergan, You Can Count on Me ; Robert Zemeckis, Cast Away ; Philip Kaufman, Quills


Best Actor
Javier Bardem, Before Night Falls
Russel Crowe, Gladiator
Michael Douglas, Wonder Boys
Tom Hanks, Cast Away
Geoffrey Rush, Quills
6th and 7th Place: Jamie Bell, Billy Elliot ; Ed Harris, Pollock

Places 8 to 10: George Clooney, O Brother Where Art Thou ; Sean Connery, Finding Forester ; Denzel Washington, Remember the Titans


Best Actress
Joan Allen, The Contender
Juliette Binoche, Chocolat
Ellen Burstyn, Requiem for a Dream
Laura Linney, You Can Count on Me
Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich
6th and 7th Place: Bjõrk, Dancer in the Dark ; Renee Zellweger, Nurse Betty

Places 8 to 10: Gillian Anderson, The House of Mirth ; Brenda Blethyn, Saving Grace ; Sandra Bullock, Miss Congeliality


Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges, The Contender
Willem DaFoe, Shadow of the Vampire
Benicio Del Toro, Traffic
Albert Finney, Erin Brockovich
Joaquin Phoenix, Gladiator
6th and 7th Place: Gary Oldman, The Contender ; Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Almost Famous

Places 8 to 10: Gary Lewis, Billy Elliot ; Oliver Reed, Gladiator ; Jack Black, High Fidelity


Best Supporting Actress
Judi Dench, Chocolat
Kate Hudson, Almost Famous
Frances McDormand, Almost Famous
Julie Walters, Billy Elliot
Kate Winslet, Quills
6th and 7th Place: Catherine Zeta-Jones, Traffic ; Zhang Ziyi, Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon

Places 8 to 10: Lena Olin, Chocolat ; Marcia Gay Harden, Pollock ; Lupe Ontiveros, Chuck and Buck


Best Original Screenplay
Almost Famous
Billy Elliot
Erin Brockovich
Gladiator
You Can Count on Me
6th and 7th Place: Best in Show ; State and Main

Number 8: The Color of Paradise (Only 8 contenders in this category)


Best Adapted Screenplay
Chocolat
Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
Quills
Traffic
Wonder Boys
6th and 7th Place: High Fidelity ; All the Pretty Horses

Places 8 to 10: O Brother Where Art Thou? ; Thirteen Days ; The House of Mirth


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