How The Formula Predicted
The 1996 Oscar Nominees

The Formula's Most Important Rule The Too Early Front Runner The Over-Estimated Comedy The Meryl Streep Rule

Prediction Rate 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96


The English Patient
34.73 pts

Anthony Minghella
29.04 pts

Geoffrey Rush
19.66 pts

Frances McDormand
24.60 pts

Supp. Actor
Cuba Gooding Jr.
12.44 pts

Supp. Actress
Courtney Love
10.55 pts

Orig. Screenplay
28.95 pts

The English Patient
17.00 pts

Best Picture
The English Patient
The People vs. Larry Flint
Secrets and Lies
6th and 7th Place: Jerry Maguire ; The Birdcage

Places 8 to 10: Evita ; Breaking the Waves ; Hamlet

Best Director
Anthony Minghella, The English Patient
Joel Coen, Fargo
Milos Forman, The People vs. Larry Flint
Mike Leigh, Secrets and Lies
Scott Hicks, Shine
6th and 7th Place: Cameron Crowe, Jerry Maguire ; Mike Nichols, The Birdcage

Places 8 to 10: Lars Von Trier, Breaking the Waves ; Alan Parker, Evita ; John Sayles, Lone Star

Best Actor
Tom Cruise, Jerry Maguire
Ralph Fiennes, The English Patient
Woody Harrelson, The People vs. Larry Flint
Geoffrey Rush, Shine
Billy Bob Thornton, Sling Blade
6th and 7th Place: Nathan Lane, The Birdcage ; William H. Macy, Fargo

Number 8: Eddy Murphy, The Nutty Professor

9th place was a 4-way tie between Mel Gibson, Ransom ; Liam Neeson, Michael Collins, Antonio Banderas, Evita ; Robin Williams, The Birdcage

Best Actress
Brenda Blethyn, Secrets and Lies
Diane Keaton, Marvin's Room
Frances McDormand, Fargo
Kristin Scott Thomas, The English Patient
Emily Watson, Breaking the Waves
6th and 7th Place: Gina Rowlands, Unhook the Stars ; Madonna, Evita

Places 8 to 9: Meryl Streep, Marvin's Room ; Glenn Close, 101 Dalmatiens

10th place was a tie between Debbie Reynolds, Mother and Barbra Streisand, The Mirror Has Two Faces

Best Supporting Actor
Cuba Gooding, Jr., Jerry Maguire
Armin Mueller-Stahl, Shine
Edward Norton, Primal Fear
Paul Scofield, The Crucible
James Woods, Ghosts of Mississippi
6th and 7th Place: Noah Taylor, Shine ; Hank Azaria, The Birdcage

Places 8 to 10: Samuel L. Jackson, A Time to Kill ; Martin Donovan, The Portrait of a Lady ; Harry Belafonte, Kansas City

Nominee William H. Macy, Fargo got points in the Leading Actor Category

Best Supporting Actress
Joan Allen, The Crucible
Lauren Bacall, The Mirror Has Two Faces
Juliette Binoche, The English patient
Barbara Hershey, The Portrait of a Lady
Courtney Love, The People vs Larry Flint
6th and 7th Place: Renee Zellweger, Jerry Maguire ; Marisa Tomei, Unhook the Stars

Places 8 to 10: Gwen Vertdon, Marvin's Room ; Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Secrets and Lies ; Marion Ross, The Evening Star

Best Original Screenplay
Lone Star
The People vs. Larry Flint
Secrets and Lies
6th and 7th Place: Jerry Maguire ; Ridicule

Places 8 to 10: Mother ; Big Night ; Breaking the Waves

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Birdcage
The English Patient
Sling Blade
6th and 7th Place: Evita ; Hamlet

Places 8 to 10: The Crucible ; The Portrait of a Lady ; Jude

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