How The Formula Predicted
The 1999 Oscar Nominees

The Formula's Most Important Rule The Too Early Front Runner The Over-Estimated Comedy The Meryl Streep Rule

Prediction Rate 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96


American Beauty
54.95 pts

Sam Mendes
37.64 pts

Russell Crowe
22.49 pts

Hilary Swank
24.60 pts

Supp. Actor
Michael Clarke Duncan
13.55 pts

Supp. Actress
Catherine Keener
18.88 pts

Orig. Screenplay
American Beauty
31.91 pts

The Insider
17.29 pts

Best Picture
American Beauty
Being John Malkovich
The Cider House Rules
The Insider
The Sixth Sense

6th and 7th Place: The Green Mile ; Magnolia

Places 8 to 10: The Talented Mr. Ripley ; The Hurricane ; Topsy-Turvy

Best Director
Sam Mendes, American Beauty
Spike Jonze, Being John Malkovich
Lasse Hallstrom, The Cider House Rules
Michael Mann, The Insider
M. Night Shyamalan, The Sixth Sense
6th and 7th Place: Frank Darabont, The Green Mile ; Anthony Minghella, The Talented Mr. Ripley

Places 8 to 10: Pedro Almodovar, All About My Mother ; Mike Leigh, Topsy-Turvy ; Alexander Payne, Election

Best Actor
Jim Carrey, Man on the Moon
Russell Crowe, The Insider
Richard Farnsworth, The Straight Story
Kevin Spacey, American Beauty
Denzel Washington, The Hurricane
6th and 7th Place: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Flawless ; Matt Damon, The Talented Mr. Ripley

Places 8 to 10: Terence Stamp, The Limey : Sean Penn, Sweet and Lowdown ; Rupert Everet, An Ideal Husand.

Best Actress
Annette Bening, American Beauty
Janet McTeer, Tumbleweeds
Julianne Moore, The End Of The Affair
Meryl Streep, Music of the Heart
Hilary Swank, Boys Don't Cry
6th and 7th Place: Reese Witherspoon, Election ; Sigourney Weaver, A Map Of The World

Places 8 to 10: Julia Roberts, Notting Hill ; Julianne Moore, An Ideal Husband ; Sharon Stone, The Muse

Best Supporting Actor
Michael Caine, The Cider House Rules
Tom Cruise, Magnolia
Michael Clarke Duncan, The Green Mile
John Malkovich, Being John Malkovich
Haley Joel Osment, The Sixth Sense
6th and 7th Place: Chris Cooper, American Beauty ; Christopher Plummer, The Insider

Places 8 to 10: Jude Law, The Talented Mr. Ripley ; Wes Bentley, American Beauty ; Doug Hutchison, The Green Mile

Best Supporting Actress
Cameron Diaz, Being John Malkovich
Angelina Jolie, Girl, Interrupted
Catherine Keener, Being John Malkovich
Samantha Morton, Sweet and Lowdown
Chloë Sevigny, Boys Don't Cry
6th and 7th Place: Julianne Moore, Magnolia ; Jessica Lange, Titus

Places 8 and 9: Thora Birch, American Beauty ; Natalie Portman, Anywhere But Here

10th place was a tie between: Eryka Badu, The Cider House Rules and Charlize Theron, The Cider House Rules

Nominee Toni Collette, The Sixth Sense is ranked on 12th place.

Best Original Screenplay
All About My Mother
American Beauty
Being John Malkovich
The Sixth Sense
6th and 7th Place: Three Kings ; Topsy-Turvy

Places 8 to 10: Toy Story 2 ; Walk on the Moon ; Three Seasons

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Cider House Rules
The Green Mile
The Insider
The Talented Mr. Ripley
6th and 7th Place: October Sky; The Hurricane

8th Place: Fight Club

9th place was a four-way tie between: Felicia's Journey; A Map of the World; Onegin and Titus

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