How The Formula Predicted
The 1997 Oscar Nominees


The Formula's Most Important Rule The Too Early Front Runner The Over-Estimated Comedy The Meryl Streep Rule

Prediction Rate 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96

FIRST PLACE PER CATEGORY


Picture
Titanic
39.81 pts


Director
James Cameron
34.32 pts


Actor
Jack Nicholson
22.79 pts


Actress
Helena Bonham Carter
25.21 pts


Supp. Actor
Burt Reynolds
24.60 pts


Supp. Actress
Julianne Moore
17.27 pts


Orig. Screenplay
Good Will Hunting
20.36 pts


Adaptation
L.A. Confidential
46.12 pts


Best Picture
As Good As It Gets
The Full Monty
Good Will Hunting
L.A. Confidential
Titanic
6th and 7th Place: Amistad ; Boogie Nights

Places 8 to 10: The Sweet Hereafter ; Wag the Dog ; Air Force One


Best Director
James L. Brooks, As Good As It Gets
James Cameron, Titanic
Peter Cattaneo, The Full Monty
Curtis Hanson, L.A. Confidential
Gus Van Sant, Good Will Hunting
6th and 7th Place: Steven Spielberg, Amistad ; Paul Thomas Anderson, Boogie Nights

Places 8 to 10: Atom Egoyan, The Sweet Hereafter ; Barry Levinson, Wag the Dog ; Wolfgang Petersen, Air Force One


Best Actor
Matt Damon, Good Will Hunting
Robert Duvall, The Apostle
Peter Fonda, Ulee's Gold
Dustin Hoffman, Wag the Dog
Jack Nicholson, As Good as it Gets
6th and 7th Place: Leonardo DiCaprio, Titanic ; Ian Holm, The Sweet Hereafter

Places 8 to 10: Djimon Hounsou, Amistad ; Daniel Day-Lewis, The Boxer ; Bob Hoskins, 24/7


Best Actress
Helena Bonham Carter, The Wings of the Dove
Julie Christie, Afterglow
Judi Dench, Mrs. Brown
Helen Hunt, As Good As It Gets
Kate Winslet, Titanic
6th and 7th Place: Pam Grier, Jackie Brown ; Jodie Foster, Contact

Places 8 to 10: Robin Wright Penn, She's so Lovely ; Jessica Lange, A Thousand Acress ; Julia Roberts, My Best Friend's Wedding


Best Supporting Actor
Rupert Everett, My Best Friend's Wedding
Anthony Hopkins, Amistad
Greg Kinnear, As Good As It Gets
Burt Reynolds, Boogie Nights
Robin Williams, Good Will Hunting
6th and 7th Place: Jon Voight, The Rainmaker ; Kevin Spacey, L.A. Confidential

Places 8 and 9: Billy Connelly, Mrs. Brown ; Mark Addy, The Full Monty

10th place was a 4-way tie between: Robert Forster, Jackie Brown ; Danny DeVito, The Rainmaker ; Cuba Gooding Jr., As Good As It Gets and Samuel L. Jackson, Eve's Bayou


Best Supporting Actress
Kim Bassinger, L.A. Confidential
Joan Cusack, In & Out
Allison Elliot, The Wings of the Dove
Jullianne Moore, Boogie Nights
Gloria Stuart, Titanic
6th and 7th Place: Sigourney Weaver, The Ice Storm ; Minnie Driver, Good Will Hunting

Places 8 and 9: Debbi Morgan, Eve's Bayou ; Jurnee Smollett, Eve's Bayou

10th place was a 5-way tie between: Ashley Judd, Kiss the Girls ; Sarah Polley, The Sweet Hereafter ; Julianne Moore, Myth of Fingerprints ; Joan Cusack, Grosse Point Blank and Shirley Knight, As Good As It Gets


Best Original Screenplay
As Good As It Gets
Boogie Nights
The Full Monty
Good Will Hunting
Titanic
6th and 7th Place: Chasing Amy ; Mrs. Brown

Number 8: In the Company of Men (only 8 titles in this category)

Nominee Deconstructing Harry was not mentioned by the formula


Best Adapted Screenplay
Amistad
The Ice Storm
L.A. Confidential
Wag the Dog
The Wings of the Dove
6th and 7th Place: Donnie Brasco; The Sweet Hereafter (only 7 titles in this category)


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