Sijmen’s Calendar of Events

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"Sijmen I LOVE this experiment thing. Thanks for all the work you put in here! It’s going to be fun! :-D"
- Engin
Dec 3, 2000.
Dates are no longer up to date. The Formula however has been adjusted in february 2017.

Index
Importance of the Event in order to predict the Oscar Nominees

Most Important Event
More Important Event
Important Event
Less Important Event
Least Important Event
December 2010
Dec  1 Satellite Award Nominations
Every nomination in the Drama categories : 1 point.

The nominees for Best Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.375 points, unless the film is nominated for director (then it’s 1 point again)

A nomination in the other Comedy categories is worth only 0.375 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it’s 1 point).

The nominees for Best Animated (or Mixed Media) Picture receive no points, unless the film is nominated for director (then it’s 1 point).

Satellite Page

Dec  2 National Board of Review Awards
Winners : 3 points.

The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. (With the producer, I mean the points for that film in the category 'Best Picture')

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.

The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra.

NBR Page

Dec  4 European Film Awards
Winners: 1.5 points

The best director, best screenplay and people's choice awards winners receive no points.

The director of the Best European Film receives 1.5 points extra.

EFA Page

Dec  13 Broadcast Film Critics Association
This award is only important for the Best Picture Category and the Writing Categories

BFCA Page

Dec  10 AFI Film Awards
Each film: 1 point. (Best Picture Category)

AFI Page

Dec  12 L.A. Film Critics Association Awards
Winners : 3 points, first runners-up : 2 points.

The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points.

The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra.

LAFCA Page

Dec  13 New York Film Critics Circle Awards
Winners : 3 points, first runners-up : 2 points.

The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.

The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra.

NYFCC Page

Dec  13 Southeastern Film Critics Association
Winners : 1.5 points.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.

SFCA Page

Dec  14 San Diego Film Critics Society Awards
Winners : 1.5 points.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points.

SDFCS Page

Dec  14 Golden Globes Nominations
Every nomination in the Drama categories : 2 points.

The nominees for Best Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.75 points, unless the film is nominated for director (then it’s 2 points again)

A nomination in the other Comedy categories is worth only 0.75 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it’s 2 point).

The nominees for Best Animated Picture receive no points, unless the film is nominated for director (then it’s 2 points).

The directors of the films nominated for screenplay get 2 points, the producers get 1.

If a film is nominated for screenplay, but not for best film (drama or comedy), the screenwriter receives 1 point extra.

If a director has a Golden Globe nomination, and he was never before nominated for an Oscar, then the producer gets 2 points extra.

In the supporting categories: actors and actresses who were nominated for an Oscar in the past but never won (for acting), receive 2 points extra. This does not apply for leading roles.

GG Page

Dec  16 Screen Actors Guild - Award Nominations Announced
Each nominated actor : 4 points

In the leading categories:
1. The score of every leading actor/actress who isn't nominated for the SAG (individual awards only) nor the Golden Globes, and never received an Oscar nomination before gets divided by 3.3.

2. Leading actors/actresses of the Best Ensemble nominees, who received one prior Oscar nomination (no matter if they won or not), receive 2 points extra.

In the supporting categories:
1. Every supporting actor/actress who was nominated for the Golden Globes and the SAG-Ensemble Award, but was never before nominated for an Oscar, receives 1 points extra

2. Every supporting actor/actress who is nominated for an individual SAG Award and the SAG-Ensemble Award, but was never before nominated for an Oscar, receives 1 points extra

3. The score of every supporting actor/actress who wasn't nominated for the Golden Globes nor the SAG (via an individual or an ensemble award), gets divided by 3.3, unless they profit by The Meryl Streep Rule.

The producers of the Best Ensemble nominees receive 3 points, the directors 1 point.

Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule

SAG Page

Dec  17 Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Winners : 1.5 points.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.

Dallas Page

Dec  17 Chicago Film Critics Association Nominations
Each nomination : 1 point.

Chicago Page

Dec  19 Satellite Awards Ceremony

Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous GS nomination points.

The winners of the leading actor and actress in a Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.8 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it’s 1.5 points).

The winner of the Best Animated (or Mixed Media) Picture receives no points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it’s 1.5 points).

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.

GS Page

Dec  ? Chicago Film Critics Association Awards
Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous Chicago nomination points.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points.

Winners of the best promising actor and/or actress receive 1 point extra if they are also nominated in the regular best acting categories (actor/actress, leading/supporting)

Chicago Page

Dec  ? Florida Film Critics Circle Awards.
Winners : 1.5 points.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.

Florida Page

Dec  27 Online Film Critics Society Awards Nominations
Nominees : 1 point.

OFCS Page

January 2011
Jan  3 Online Film Critics Society Awards
Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous OFCS nomination points.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points.

Winners of the best breakthrough performance receive 1 point extra if they are also nominated in the regular best acting categories (actor/actress, leading/supporting)

OFCS Page

Jan  4 Producers Guild of America - Award Nominations
Each nominated producer : 4 points

The directors of the nominated films receive 1 point.

Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule

PGA Page

Jan  4 Writers Guild of America - Award Nominations
Each nominated screenwriter : 4 points

If a film is nominated for both the WGA and the PGA, then the producers and the directors receive 1 point.

If a film is nominated for both the WGA and the DGA, then the producers receive 2 points, and the directors 1 point.

If a film is nominated for both the WGA and the SAG, then the screenwriters receive 1,5 points extra.

Every film who isn't nominated for the WGA and who's director was never before nominated for an Oscar, looses 0.8 points in the best picture and best director category.

Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule

WGA Page

Jan  5 People’s Choice Awards
Favorite Motion Picture Winner: 1.5 points

Other awards are not taken in consideration.

PCA Page

Jan  6 Cinema Audio Award Nominations
A Guild nomination is worth 0.33 points in the best picture category and 0.222 points in the best director category.

CAS Page

Jan  10 Denver Film Criticis Society Awards
Best Picture Winner : 1,5 points

The other Best Picture nominees: 1 point.

DFCS Page

Jan  8 National Society of Film Critics Awards
Winners : 1.5 points, first runners-up : 1 point.

The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.

NSFC Page

Jan  10 Directors Guild of America - Award Nominations
Each nominated director : 4 points

If a film is nominated for both the DGA and the PGA, then the producers receive 2 points.

If a film is nominated for the DGA, but not for the PGA, then the producers receive 4 points.

If a film is nominated for the DGA, but not for the WGA, then the screenwriters receive 4 points.

If a film is nominated for the PGA, but not for the DGA nor the WGA, then the screenwriters receive 2 points.

The amount of Best Picture Awards and Nominations* of a director’s film will be added to the director’s score if:
  • the director of the film isn’t nominated for the DGA
  • AND the film is nominated for the Best Leading Actor Award at the SAG
  • AND the director received an Best Director Oscar Nomination with a previous film

    (* The considered awards are PGA nominations, DGA nominations, SAG-Ensemble nominations, NBR Top 10, Broadcast Film Critics Top 10, Dallas Film Critics Top 10, Southeastern Film Critics Top 10, The AFI Top 10, Best Picture Nominations from the Golden Globes (drama+ comedy), Online Film Critics Society, BAFTA, Chicago Film Critics Association, Denver Film Critics Society, Best Picture winners of the LAFCA, NYFCC, NSFC, European Film Awards, Florida Film Critics, Satellites (drama only) and the San Diego Film Critics.)


    Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule

    DGA Page

  • Jan  11 American Society of Cinematographers Award Nominations
    A Guild nomination is worth 0.33 points in the best picture category and 0.222 points in the best director category.

    ASC Page

    Jan  14 American Cinema Editors - Eddie Nominations
    A Guild nomination is worth 0.33 points in the best picture category and 0.222 points in the best director category.

    ACE Page

    Jan  14 Broadcast Film Critics Association : Award Ceremony
    Winners : 1.5 points, first Runners-up: 1 points

    The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.

    The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points.

    Winners of the best young actor and/or young actress receive 1 point extra if they are also nominated in the regular best acting categories (actor/actress, leading/supporting)

    BFCA Page

    Jan  16 Golden Globes Ceremony
    Winners : 3 points instead of their previous GG nomination points.

    The leading actor and actress in a Comedy Or Musical:
    a. if the film is nominated for Best Director, then they receive 3 points
    b. If not, they receive only 1 point. But the actor or actress can receive extra points if he or she doesn't profit by the Meryl Streep Rule and:
        b1. if the film's director received a Golden Globe Nomination in the Directing Category before: 2 points extra.
        b2. if the film's director received a Golden Globe Nomination in the Directing Category before AND the actor or actress has at least two prior Oscar nominations for a leading performance: 3 points extra.


    The screenwriter of the Best Picture Drama Winner receives 2 points extra.

    The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra.

    The director of the Best Picture - Drama Winner receives 1.5 points extra.

    The producers of the films that won best actor, actress and screenplay receive 1 point extra. (Those points are not cumulative: if a film won all these awards, the producer will still get 1 point.)

    The directors of the films that won best drama actor, drama actress and screenplay receive 1 point extra. (Those points are not cumulative: if a film won all these awards, the director will still get 1 point.)

    The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points.

    The winner of the Best Animated Picture receives no points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it’s 3 points).

    GG Page

    Jan  18 BAFTA Award Nominations (U.K.)
    Each nomination : 1 point.

    Foreign language films in regular categories get 2 points instead of 1.

    Best Picture nominees that are not nominated for the Producers Guild Award receive 1 point extra.

    Best Director nominees that are not nominated for the Directors Guild Award receive 1 point extra.

    Best Screenplay nominees that are not nominated for the Writers Guild Award receive 1 point extra.

    Best Leading Actor and Leading Actress nominees that are not nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Guild Award receive 2 points extra.

    The scores of the nominated actors and actresses in a leading role are no longer divided by 3.3 (See the rules of the Screen Actors Guild Nominations)

    BAFTA Page

    Jan  22 The End of Sijmen’s Oscar Experiment
    Jan  22 Producers Guild Awards
    Jan  25 ACADEMY AWARD NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCEMENT
    Jan  29 Directors Guild Awards
    Jan  30 Screen Actors Guild Awards
    February 2011
    Feb  5 Art Directors Guild Awards
    Feb  5 Writers Guild Awards
    Feb  13 BAFTA Awards (U.K.)
    Feb  13 American Society of Cinematographers Awards
    Feb  19 American Cinema Editors - Eddie Awards
    Feb  19 Cinema Audio Awards
    Feb  22 Costume Designers Guild Awards
    Feb  27 ACADEMY AWARDS CEREMONY



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