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Index Importance of the Event in order to predict the Oscar Nominees
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November 2009 |
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| Nov 30 | Satellite Award Nominations
Every nomination in the Drama categories : 1 point. The nominees for Best Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.375 points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it’s 1 point again) A nomination in the other Comedy categories is worth only 0.375 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it’s 1 point). The nominees for Best Animated (or Mixed Media) Picture receive no points, unless the film is nominated for director (then it’s 1 point). |
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| December 2009 |
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| Dec 3 | National Board of Review Awards
Winners : 3 points. The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. (With the producer, I mean the points for that film in the category 'Best Picture') The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra. |
| Dec 12 | European Film Awards
Winners: 1.5 points The best director, best screenplay and people's choice awards winners receive no points. The director of the Best European Film receives 1.5 points extra. |
| Dec 13 | L.A. Film Critics Association Awards
Winners : 3 points, first runners-up : 2 points. The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra. |
| Dec 14 | New York Film Critics Circle Awards
Winners : 3 points, first runners-up : 2 points. The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra. |
| Dec 14 | Southeastern Film Critics Association
Winners : 1.5 points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
| Dec 15 | San Diego Film Critics Society Awards
Winners : 1.5 points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. |
| Dec 15 | Golden Globes Nominations
Every nomination in the Drama categories : 2 points. The nominees for Best Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.75 points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it’s 2 points again) A nomination in the other Comedy categories is worth only 0.75 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it’s 2 point). The nominees for Best Animated Picture receive no points, unless the film is nominated for director (then it’s 2 points). The directors of the films nominated for screenplay get 2 points, the producers get 1. If a film is nominated for screenplay, but not for best film (drama or comedy), the screenwriter receives 1 point extra. If a director has a Golden Globe nomination, and he was never before nominated for an Oscar, then the producer gets 2 points extra. In the supporting categories: actors and actresses who were nominated for an Oscar in the past but never won (for acting), receive 2 points extra. This does not apply for leading roles. |
| Dec 16 | Chicago Film Critics Association Nominations
Each nomination : 1 point. |
| Dec 16 | Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Winners : 1.5 points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
| Dec 17 | Screen Actors Guild - Award Nominations Announced
Each nominated actor : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) In the leading categories: 1. The score of every leading actor/actress who isn't nominated for the SAG (individual awards only) nor the Golden Globes, and never received an Oscar nomination before gets divided by 3.3. 2. Leading actors/actresses of the Best Ensemble nominees, who were nominated for an Oscar in the past but never won (for acting), receive 2 points extra. In the supporting categories: 1. Every supporting actor/actress who was nominated for the Golden Globes and the SAG-Ensemble Award, but was never before nominated for an Oscar, receives 2 points extra 2. The score of every supporting actor/actress who wasn't nominated for the Golden Globes nor the SAG (via an individual or an ensemble award), gets divided by 3.3, unless they profit by The Meryl Streep Rule. The producers of the Best Ensemble nominees receive 3 points, the directors 1 point. Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule |
| Dec 20 | Satellite Awards Ceremony
Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous GS nomination points. The winners of the leading actor and actress in a Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.8 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it’s 1.5 points). The winner of the Best Animated (or Mixed Media) Picture receives no points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it’s 1.5 points). The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
| Dec 21 | Chicago Film Critics Association Awards
Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous Chicago nomination points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. Winners of the best promising actor and/or actress receive 1 point extra if they are also nominated in the regular best acting categories (actor/actress, leading/supporting) |
| Dec 21 | Florida Film Critics Circle Awards.
Winners : 1.5 points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
| Dec 31 | Online Film Critics Society Awards Nominations
Nominees : 1 point. |
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January 2010 |
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| Jan 3 | National Society of Film Critics Awards
Winners : 1.5 points, first runners-up : 1 point. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
| Jan ? | Entertainment Weekly’s Annual Oscar Nominee Predictions
The 'For Your Considerations' are worth 1 point. |
| Jan 5 | Producers Guild of America - Award Nominations
Each nominated producer : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) The directors of the nominated films receive 1 point. Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule |
| Jan 6 | Online Film Critics Society Awards
Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous OFCS nomination points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. Winners of the best breakthrough performance receive 1 point extra if they are also nominated in the regular best acting categories (actor/actress, leading/supporting) |
| Jan 6 | People’s Choice Awards
Favorite Motion Picture Winner: 1.5 points Other awards are not taken in consideration. |
| Jan 7 | Directors Guild of America - Award Nominations
Each nominated director : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) The screenwriters of the nominated films receive 4 points. If a film is nominated for both the DGA and the PGA, then the producers receive 2 points. If a film is nominated for the DGA, but not for the PGA, then the producers receive 4 points. If a film is nominated for the PGA, but not for the DGA, then the screenwriters receive 2 points. Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule |
| Jan 8 | Art Directors Guild Award Nominations
A Guild nomination is worth 0.44 points in the best picture category and 0.222 points in the best director category. |
| Jan 11 | Writers Guild of America - Award Nominations
Each nominated screenwriter : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) If a film is nominated for both the WGA and the PGA, then the producers receive 1 point, and the directors 2 points. If a film is nominated for both the WGA and the DGA, then the producers receive 2 points, and the directors 1 point. If a film has no other Guild Nomination, the screenwriter receives 1 point extra (other Guilds are: PGA, DGA, SAG, ASC, ACE, CAS, ADG, CDG) Every film who isn’t nominated for the WGA and who’s director was never before nominated for an Oscar, looses 0.8 points in the best picture and best director category. Also take a look at The Formula’s Most Important Rule |
| Jan 11 | American Society of Cinematographers Award Nominations
A Guild nomination is worth 0.44 points in the best picture category and 0.222 points in the best director category. |
| Jan 12 | American Cinema Editors - Eddie Nominations
The producers and directors of the nominated films in the drama category get 2 points. The screenwriters of the nominated foreign language films receive 2 points extra. |
| Jan 15 | Broadcast Film Critics Association : Award Ceremony
Winners : 3 points, first Runners-up: 2 points. The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra. Winners of the best young actor and/or young actress receive 1 point extra if they are also nominated in the regular best acting categories (actor/actress, leading/supporting) |
| Jan 17 | Golden Globes Ceremony
Winners : 3 points instead of their previous GG nomination points. The winners of the leading actor and actress in a Comedy Or Musical receive only 1 point, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it’s 3 points). The screenwriter of the Best Picture Drama Winner receives 2 points extra. The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The director of the Best Picture - Drama Winner receives 1.5 points extra. The producers of the films that won best actor, actress and screenplay receive 1 point extra The directors of the films that won best drama actor, drama actress and screenplay receive 1 point extra The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The winner of the Best Animated Picture receives no points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it’s 3 points). |
| Jan 21 | BAFTA Award Nominations (U.K.)
Each nomination : 1 point. Foreign language films in regular categories get 2 points instead of 1. Best picture nominees that are not nominated for the Producers Guild Award receive 1 point extra. Best director nominees that are not nominated for the Directors Guild Award receive 1 point extra. |
| Jan 21 | Cinema Audio Award Nominations
A Guild nomination is worth 0.44 points in the best picture category and 0.222 points in the best director category. |
| Jan 23 | Screen Actors Guild Awards |
| Jan 24 | Producers Guild Awards |
| Jan 28 | Costume Designers Guild Nominations
A Guild nomination is worth 0.44 points in the best picture category and 0.222 points in the best director category. |
| Jan 29 | The End of Sijmen’s Oscar Experiment |
| Jan 30 | Directors Guild Awards |
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February 2010 |
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| Feb 2 | ACADEMY AWARD NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCEMENT |
| Feb 13 | Art Directors Guild Awards |
| Feb 14 | American Cinema Editors - Eddie Awards | Feb 20 | Writers Guild Awards |
| Feb 21 | BAFTA Awards (U.K.) |
| Feb 25 | Costume Designers Guild Awards |
| Feb 27 | American Society of Cinematographers Awards |
| Feb 27 | Cinema Audio Awards |
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March 2010 |
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| Mar 7 | ACADEMY AWARDS CEREMONY |
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