How The Formula Predicts
The 2022 Oscar Nominees


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FIRST PLACE PER CATEGORY


Picture
Everything Everywhere All at Once
52.86 pts


Director
Dan Kwan & Daniel Scheinert
29.35 pts


Actor
Colin Farrell
21.71 pts


Actress
Cate Blanchett
27.93 pts


Supp. Actor
Ke Huy Quan
30.15 pts


Supp. Actress
Kerry Condon
21.32 pts


Orig. Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
29.49 pts


Adaptation
Women Talking
14.64 pts


Best Picture
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Glass Onion
RRR
Tar
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking

11th to 13th Place: Decision to Leave ; All Quiet on the Western Front ; Babylon


Best Director
Martin McDonaugh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave
Dan Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Everyhting Everywhere All at Once
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
Todd Field, Tar
6th and 7th Place: Baz Luhrmann, Elvis ; S. S. Rajamouli, RRR

Places 8 to 10: Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick ; Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front ; James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water


Best Actor
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
6th and 7th Place (TIE): Adam Sandler, Hustle ; Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick ; Hugh Jackman, The Son

Place 9 (TIE): Diego Calva, Babylon ; Daniel Craig, Glass Onion


Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Tar
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
6th and 7th Place: Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans ; Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

Places 8 to 10: Margot Robbie, Babylon ; Olivia Colman, Empire of Light ; Vicky Krieps, Corsage


Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
6th Place (TIE): Brad Pitt, Babylon ; Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse

Places 8 to 10: Brian Tyree Henry, Causeaway ; Ben Whishaw, Women Talking ; Albrecht Schuch, All Quiet on the Western Front


Best Supporting Actress
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness
6th and 7th Place: Hong Chau, The Whale ; Carey Mulligan, She Said

Places 8 to 10 (TIE): Jessie Buckley, Women Talking ; Nina Hoss, Tar ; Claire Foy, Women Talking ; Jean Smart, Babylon


Best Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
Decision to Leave
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tar
6th and 7th Place: RRR ; EO

Places 8 to 10: Triangle of Sadness : Elvis ; Close


Best Adapted Screenplay
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion
The Whale
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
6th and 7th Place: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio ; She Said

Places 8 to 9: Avatar: The Way of the Water ; Living ; Black Panther: Wakanda Forever


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