How The Formula Predicts
The 2023 Oscar Nominees


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FIRST PLACE PER CATEGORY


Picture
Oppenheimer
49.88 pts


Director
Christopher Nolan
35.23 pts


Actor
Paul Giamatti
17.88 pts


Actress
Lily Gladstone
22.82 pts


Supp. Actor
Robert Downey Jr.
22.82 pts


Supp. Actress
Da'Vine Joy Randolph
28.93 pts


Orig. Screenplay
Anatomy of a Fall
25.00 pts


Adaptation
Barbie
20.66 pts


Best Picture
American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

11th to 13th Place: May December ; The Color Purple ; The Boy and the Heron


Best Director
Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
6th and 7th Place: Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest ; Alexander Payne, The Holdovers

Places 8 to 10: Todd Haynes, May Deecember ; Bradley Cooper, Maestro ; Cord Jefferson, American Fiction


Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
6th and 7th Place: Bradley Cooper, Maestro ; Colman Domingo, Rustin

Place 8 to 10: Barry Keoghan, Saltburn ; Teo Yoo, Past Lives ; Franz Rogowski, Pasages


Best Actress
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Emma Stone, Poor Things
6th and 7th Place: Penelope Cruz, Ferrari ; Annette Bening, Nyad

Places 8 to 10: Natalie Portman, May December ; Fantasia Barrino, The Color Purple ; Greta Lee, Past Lives


Best Supporting Actor
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Charles Melton, May December
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
6th and 7th Place: Willem Dafoe, Poor Things ; Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers

Places 8 to 10 (TIE): Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction ; Jacob Elordi, Saltburn ; Glenn Howerton, Blackberry ; Paul Mescal, All of Us Strangers


Best Supporting Actress
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Julianne Moore, May December
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
6th and 7th Place: Rosamund Pike, Saltburn ; Rachel McAdams, Are You There, God? It's Me, Margaret

Places 8 to 10 (TIE): America Ferrara, Barbie ; Sandra Huller, The Zone of Interest ; Juliette Binoche, The Taste of Things ; Claire Foy, All of Us Strangers


Best Original Screenplay
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Maestro
May December
Past Lives
6th Place: Fallen Leaves

(Only six titles in this catergory)


Best Adapted Screenplay
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
6th and 7th Place: American Fiction ; All of Us Strangers

Place 8: Are You There, God? It's Me, Margaret

(Only eight titles in this catergory)


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