TRACKED AWARDS (so far)
(COMPLETE)
Cinema Audio Award Nominations
European Film Awards
Denver Film Criticis Society Awards
Online Film Critics Society Awards Nominations
Golden Globes Ceremony
Producers Guild Award Nomination
American Society of Cinematographers Award Nominations
Directors Guild Award Nominations
Screen Actors Guild The Actor Nominations
The Critics Choice Awards
National Society of Film Critics Awards
Florida Film Critics Circle Awards
Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Satellite Award Nominations
San Diego Film Critics Society Awards
Southeastern Film Critics Association
Chicago Film Critics Association Award
Chicago Film Critics Association Nominations
Golden Globes Nominations
L.A. Film Critics Association Awards
The Critics Choice Award Nominations
AFI Film Awards
National Board of Review Awards
New York Film Critics Circle Awards
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For More info see The Scoring System |
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Note: The Experiment predicts the nominees, not the winners. (Nominations are math - winners are magic.)
Best Picture
| # |
Film |
B |
C |
D |
E |
F |
G |
| 1. |
One Battle After Another |
39.7 |
25 |
16 |
11 |
1 |
64.09 |
| 2. |
Sinners |
20.1 |
14 |
13 |
9 |
1 |
40.37 |
| 3. |
Marty Supreme |
15.925 |
12 |
12 |
6 |
1 |
34.085 |
| 4. |
Hamnet |
17 |
10 |
10 |
5 |
1 |
32.63 |
| 5. |
Sentimental Value |
16.6 |
11 |
8 |
1 |
1 |
28.77 |
| 6. |
Frankenstein |
12 |
6 |
8 |
7 |
1 |
26.05 |
| 7. |
It Was Just an Accident |
16.7 |
16 |
5 |
|
1 |
25.4 |
| 8. |
The Secret Agent |
10.375 |
10 |
3 |
|
1 |
16.795 |
| 9. |
Bugonia |
5.925 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
15.395 |
| 10. |
Train Dreams |
7.8 |
6 |
8 |
2 |
|
12.52 |
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| 11. |
Weapons |
4 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
10.92 |
| 12. |
No Other Choice |
2.925 |
4 |
3 |
|
1 |
9.225 |
| 13. |
F1: The Movie |
3 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
9.15 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Number of Best Picture wins and nominations (see the Calculating the Best Picture Category for the list of eligible awards).
E. - Number of Guild Award nominations (see Calculating the Best Picture Category for eligible awards).
F. - Score scaling. 1 = points are not divided and 3 bonus points are added; empty = standard scoring. (see the Final Score Scaling)
G. - Total Points: if E=1 then B + 3 + ((C - 1) x 0.02) + (D x 1.08) + (E x 0.33) if E=0 then B / 2.5 + ((C - 1) x 0.02)
+ (D x 1.08) + (E x 0.33)
Best Director
|
Name / Film |
B |
C |
D |
E |
F |
G |
| 1. |
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another |
27.7 |
18 |
10 |
11 |
1 |
38.529 |
| 2. |
Ryan Coogler, Sinners |
19.6 |
13 |
|
9 |
1 |
25.93 |
| 3. |
Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident |
18.3 |
16 |
1 |
|
1 |
23.315 |
| 4. |
Chloe Zhao, Hamnet |
14.5 |
9 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
20.198 |
| 5. |
Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme |
10.8 |
7 |
1 |
6 |
1 |
16.148 |
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|
| 6. |
Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value |
10.6 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
15.888 |
| 7. |
Guillermo Del Toro, Frankenstein |
9 |
5 |
|
7 |
1 |
13.998 |
| 8. |
Kleber Mendonca Filho, The Secret Agent |
5 |
6 |
2 |
|
1 |
9.255 |
| 9. |
Yorgos Lanthimos, Bugonia |
1.8 |
2 |
|
3 |
1 |
5.577 |
| 10. |
Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice |
2.3 |
2 |
|
|
1 |
5.411 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Number of wins for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Lead Actor, and Best Lead Actress, from a selected set of major awards only (see the Calculating the Best Director Category for the list of eligible awards).
E. - Number of Guild Award nominations (see Calculating the Best Picture Category for eligible awards).
F. - Score scaling. 1 = points are not divided and 3 bonus points are added; empty = standard scoring. (see the Final Score Scaling)
G. - Total Points: if E=1 then B + 3 + ((C - 1) x 0.111) + (D x 0.35) + (E x 0.222) if E=0 then B / 2.5 + ((C - 1) x 0.111)
+ (D x 0.35) + (E x 0.222)
Best Actor
| # |
Name / Film |
B |
C |
D |
| 1 |
Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another |
16 |
9 |
16,88 |
| 2 |
Michael B. Jordan, Sinners |
14 |
8 |
14,77 |
| 3 |
Timothee Chalamet, Marty Supreme |
13,375 |
8 |
14,145 |
| 4 |
Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent |
12 |
7 |
12,66 |
| 5 |
Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon |
10,625 |
6 |
11,175 |
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| 6 |
Jesse Plemons, Bugonia |
5,125 |
3 |
5,345 |
| 7 |
Joel Edgerton, Train Dreams |
4 |
3 |
4,22 |
|
Oscar Isaac, Frankenstein |
4 |
3 |
4,22 |
| 9 |
George Clooney, Jay Kelly |
1,125 |
2 |
1,235 |
| 10 |
Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Total Points: B + ((C - 1) x 0.11)
Best Actress
| # |
Name / Film |
B |
C |
D |
| 1 |
Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I'd Kick You |
19,875 |
11 |
20,975 |
| 2 |
Jessie Buckley, Hamnet |
18,5 |
10 |
19,49 |
| 3 |
Chase Infinity, One Battle After Another |
8 |
4 |
8,33 |
| 4 |
Emma Stone, Bugonia |
7,125 |
4 |
7,455 |
| 5 |
Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value |
6 |
3 |
6,22 |
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--------------------------------------------------- |
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| 6 |
Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love |
4 |
3 |
4,22 |
| 7 |
Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue |
3,75 |
2 |
3,86 |
| 8 |
Eva Victor, Sorry Baby |
2,375 |
2 |
2,485 |
| 9 |
Tessa Thompson, Hedda |
2 |
2 |
2,11 |
| 10 |
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good |
1,125 |
2 |
1,235 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Total Points: B + ((C - 1) x 0.11)
Best Supporting Actor
| # |
Name / Film |
B |
C |
D |
| 1 |
Benicio Del Toro, One Battle After Another |
23 |
13 |
24,32 |
| 2 |
Sean Penn, One Battle After Another |
16,5 |
10 |
17,49 |
| 3 |
Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value |
15,5 |
8 |
16,27 |
| 4 |
Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein |
15 |
9 |
15,88 |
| 5 |
Paul Mescal, Hamnet |
14,5 |
8 |
15,27 |
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--------------------------------------------------- |
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| 6 |
Miles Caton, Sinners |
7,5 |
4 |
7,83 |
| 7 |
Delroy Lindo, Sinners |
4,5 |
4 |
4,83 |
| 8 |
Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly |
2 |
1 |
2 |
| 9 |
Andrew Scott, Blue Moon |
2 |
1 |
0,606060606 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Total Points: B + ((C - 1) x 0.11)
Best Supporting Actress
| # |
Name / Film |
B |
C |
D |
| 1 |
Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another |
21 |
11 |
22,1 |
| 2 |
Amy Madigan, Weapons |
15,5 |
8 |
16,27 |
| 3 |
Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners |
11,5 |
7 |
12,16 |
| 4 |
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value |
10 |
7 |
10,66 |
| 5 |
Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good |
9 |
4 |
9,33 |
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--------------------------------------------------- |
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| 6 |
Odessa A'Zion, Marty Supreme |
7 |
4 |
7,33 |
| 7 |
Emily Blunt, The Smashing Machine |
5,5 |
3 |
5,72 |
| 8 |
Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value |
4,5 |
3 |
4,72 |
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Hailee Steinfeld, Sinners |
4,5 |
3 |
4,72 |
| 10 |
Nina Hoss, Hedda |
2,5 |
2 |
2,61 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Total Points: B + ((C - 1) x 0.11)
Best Original Screenplay
| # |
Film |
B |
C |
D |
E |
| 1 |
It Was Just An Accident |
15,4 |
10 |
7 |
18,93 |
| 2 |
Sinners |
13,5 |
8 |
13 |
18,89 |
| 3 |
Marty Supreme |
12 |
6 |
12 |
16,8 |
| 4 |
Sentimental Value |
9,8 |
6 |
9 |
13,55 |
| 5 |
The Secret Agent |
4 |
5 |
7 |
6,93 |
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| 6 |
Weapons |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4,17 |
| 7 |
Sorry, Baby |
3 |
2 |
|
3,12 |
| 8 |
F1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2,7 |
| 9 |
Blue Moon |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2,47 |
| 10 |
Jay Kelly |
1 |
1 |
4 |
2,4 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Number of Best Picture wins and nominations (see the Calculating the Writing Categories for the list of eligible awards).
E. - Total Points: B + ((C - 1) x 0.12) + (D x 0,35)
Best Adapted Screenplay
| # |
Film |
B |
C |
D |
G |
| 1 |
One Battle After Another |
20,5 |
11 |
16 |
27,3 |
| 2 |
Hamnet |
7 |
5 |
9 |
10,63 |
| 3 |
Train Dreams |
6,5 |
5 |
8 |
9,78 |
| 4 |
Bugonia |
5,5 |
4 |
5 |
7,61 |
| 5 |
Frankenstein |
4 |
1 |
5 |
5,75 |
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| 6 |
No Other Choice |
3,8 |
4 |
3 |
5,21 |
| 7 |
Wake Up Dead Man |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1,35 |
Legend:
B. - Points based on results from the Award Calendar.
C. - Number of times the film received points.
D. - Number of Best Picture wins and nominations (see the Calculating the Writing Categories for the list of eligible awards).
E. - Total Points: B + ((C - 1) x 0.12) + (D x 0,35)
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